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COVID-19 case reached 40k cases daily, may peak mid- January
By Nidz Godino
“In terms of projections nakikita natin, posibleng tumaas talaga ‘yung kaso, lalo na kapag hindi tayo nagkaroon ng matinding intervention,” University of the Philippines (UP) Pandemic Response Team Prof. Jomar Rabajante said COVID-19 infections in Metro Manila may reach its peak as early as nuary 15 or as late as the third week of February.
“At, doon sa aming pinalabas ng UP Pandemic Response Team projections, possible tayong magkaroon ng peak, yung kung kailan magkakaroon ng increase tapos magpi-peak at magde-decrease, ang pinaka-early nito ay January 15, ‘yung half ng, middle ng January, ‘yung pinaka-late naman ay third week ng February,” Rabajante said.
“So nandiyan ‘yung posibleng peak na mangyari…and ‘yung size nung peak natin, kung gaano kalaki, e yung reported cases natin e posibleng mag-range from 20,000-40,000 cases,” he said.
Rabajante said cases may peak earlier if COVID-19 health protocols are not properly implemented.
“Yung timelines na ‘yan ay depende sa magiging behavior natin ‘no, kasi kung talagang, kahit may Alert Level 3 tayo pero ‘yung implementations ay hindi masyadong maganda at still people will be very mobile, mas bibilis ‘yung transmission ng omicron so mapapaaga ngayon ‘yung peak natin.yung delay naman ng peak ay if there will be good indication na naging effective ‘yung mga alert levels natin and people will somehow maintain ‘yung minimum public health standards, pwedeng madelay ‘yung peak, and ang kagandahan sa pag-delay ng peak, ay posibleng bumaba din ‘yung size ng peak. ‘Yung hindi tayo pwedeng umabot, posibleng hindi tayo doon umabot sa 40,000 projections” Rabajante explained.
The Philippines confirmed 4,600 new cases of COVID-19 over the weekend. Positivity rate was also at 19.6 percent, way above 5 percent recommended rate by World Health Organization (WHO), and highest level since Sept. 20, 2021, last year.
Doctors have said that rapid increase of COVID-19 cases in the country is very characteristic of a highly transmissible variant of concern.
Philippines confirmed 4,600 new cases of COVID-19 on Sunday, bringing country’s total to 2,851,931.
The positivity rate was also at 19.6 percent, way above 5 percent recommended rate by the WHO and the highest level since Sept. 20 last year.
The Department of Health meanwhile also reported 535 new recoveries, pushing the total number of Filipinos who recovered from the disease to 2,778,943.
This means that the country has total of 21,418 active cases as of 4 in the afternoon of Sunday, which is the highest since Nov. 30,2021, last year.
Twenty five new deaths from COVID-19 were also reported, bringing country’s death toll from the disease to 51,570.
Two laboratories were non-operational while 9 labs were not able to submit data, according to the DOH.
In just 5 days, country’s positivity rate has more than quadrupled from 4.5 percent on Dec. 27 to 19.6 percent on Dec. 31, while daily tally of fresh cases ballooned more than fourteen fold in just 7 days from 318 on Dec. 27,2021 last year to 4,600 this Sunday.
National Capital Region has witnessed rise in cases recently amid easing of quarantine restrictions.
An independent research group said Philippines will continue to see rise in COVID-19 infections in the coming days, with numbers possibly surpassing figures from past surges.
At least 14 cases of the highly transmissible omicron variant of the novel coronavirus have so far been detected in the country.
Government missed its own target to vaccinate 54 million people by the end of 2021.
Worldwide, novel coronavirus has infected more than 289.2 million people and caused over 5.44 million deaths since it was first reported in Wuhan, China in late 2019 according to the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center.
The United States remains most badly affected country with over 54.8 million infections and over 825,000 deaths.
Philippines’ first COVID-19 case was a 38-year-old Chinese woman from Wuhan, China.
The first COVID-19 death outside of China, was also recorded in the Philippines last year.
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